2015锟斤拷前锟斤拷锟斤拷锟饺ｏ拷锟揭癸拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟接诧拷品锟斤拷业锟皆帮拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节讹拷同锟饺达拷锟斤拷禄锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷踊锟斤拷锟斤拷只锟斤拷锟斤拷缁帮拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷品锟斤拷锟节达拷锟斤拷陆锟斤拷锟斤拷锟街碉拷镁锟斤拷琛�2015锟疥，锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟今化ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟侥碉拷锟皆ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷萎锟斤拷锟斤拷2016锟疥，锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷然锟较撅拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟剿伙拷效应锟斤拷锟皆撅拷锟叫ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟截斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟借碍锟叫筹拷锟斤拷暖锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷通锟酵★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟角讹拷锟斤拷值锟斤拷锟竭癸拷税水平锟饺ｏ拷贫锟斤拷锟斤拷唷拷锟斤拷锟借沟锟斤拷农锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷施锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷暖锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷2015锟斤拷锟揭癸拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟接诧拷品锟斤拷业锟皆帮拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节斤拷锟斤拷锟街较大降凤拷锟斤拷2016锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷小锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖改ｏ拷锟斤拷锟矫凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷注锟斤拷锟斤拷展芸亍锟�

    一锟斤拷2015锟斤拷前锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷业锟斤拷锟节讹拷同锟饺达拷锟斤拷禄锟�

    锟斤拷锟节凤拷锟芥，2013锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭癸拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟接诧拷品锟斤拷业锟皆帮拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟劫筹拷锟斤拷锟铰斤拷锟斤拷2015锟斤拷前锟斤拷锟斤拷锟饺筹拷锟节讹拷同锟饺斤拷锟斤拷锟竭达拷34.6%锟斤拷6锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡凤拷锟斤拷锟饺拷锟斤拷禄锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭拷锟狡凤拷锟斤拷踊锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷璞革拷锟斤拷只锟斤拷锟斤拷缁帮拷锟斤拷锟狡碉拷锟铰硷拷璞革拷锟斤拷诙锟街憋拷同锟斤拷锟铰斤拷50.2%锟斤拷7.7%锟斤拷31.3%锟斤拷9.4%锟斤拷锟斤拷4锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡凤拷锟斤拷占锟饺合计高达拷92.2%锟斤拷锟斤拷锟接伙拷锟斤拷锟街伙拷锟斤拷锟界话锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡凤拷锟斤拷诙锟酵拷却锟斤拷锟铰斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷全锟斤拷锟铰伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷

图锟斤拷 1 2010-2015锟斤拷9锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟接诧拷品锟斤拷业锟皆帮拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟�

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷源锟斤拷锟叫癸拷锟脚憋拷

    锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷暖锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆诧拷锟斤拷

    2015锟斤拷1-8锟铰ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟侥碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷指锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰斤拷锟斤拷锟节硷拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟角凤拷眩锟斤拷锟斤拷锟街革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷陆锟斤拷锟�4-8锟铰革拷指锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟节伙拷锟节ｏ拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰伙拷锟斤拷

图锟斤拷 2 2015锟斤拷1-8锟铰帮拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷源锟斤拷Getulio Vargas Foundation锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷统锟狡撅拷

    目前锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节革拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷暖锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷要原锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰硷拷锟姐：锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节猴拷刍锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷窕锟斤拷璋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡凤拷谐锟斤拷锟斤拷铡锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟酵ｏ拷停锟�2015锟斤拷锟较斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷衰锟斤拷锟揭猴拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷也锟窖碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟矫癸拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟秸筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟襟。第讹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷通锟酵革拷锟斤拷食品锟斤拷锟斤拷品平锟斤拷通锟斤拷锟绞高达拷20%-30%锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷品锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟秸硷拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡分э拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷训锟斤拷硬锟狡凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷萎锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷

图锟斤拷 3 2015锟斤拷1-9锟铰帮拷锟斤拷通锟斤拷水平锟斤拷失业锟斤拷锟铰讹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷源锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷统锟狡局ｏ拷National Consumer Price Index (INPC)

    锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟芥经锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷缺锟斤拷锟斤拷锟矫ｏ拷贫锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷失业锟斤拷锟竭高斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节癸拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟接诧拷品锟斤拷锟桔伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟劫革拷为锟斤拷锟揭的撅拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷

图锟斤拷 4 锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖价革拷指锟斤拷(INPC)锟铰度伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡★拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟接诧拷品

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷源锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷统锟狡局ｏ拷National Consumer Price Index (INPC)

    锟截憋拷锟角帮拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟角讹拷锟斤拷值锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷压锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷品锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟接诧拷品锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟桔★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷示锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷2015锟斤拷9锟铰ｏ拷锟斤拷元锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷叶野锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷嵌锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟�1锟斤拷锟斤拷鹊锟斤拷锟街碉拷锟斤拷染锟斤拷叽锟�40%锟斤拷锟较ｏ拷锟较撅拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰ｏ拷未锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟角讹拷锟斤拷值压锟斤拷锟斤拷然锟杰大。达拷锟解，锟斤拷锟斤拷实锟斤拷锟较革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷拼锟绞╋拷锟斤拷锟矫筹拷缀锟酵讹拷驶锟脚拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷茫锟斤拷锟斤拷锟接帮拷锟揭诧拷岵拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷训锟斤拷硬锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡凤拷慕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟街碉拷霉锟阶拷锟�

    锟斤拷锟斤拷2015锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷训锟斤拷锟斤拷谐锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆わ拷锟�2016锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟�

    2015锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟桔撅拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷衰锟剿ｏ拷锟斤拷锟街达拷锟斤拷锟斤拷嗖伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷兀锟酵拷锟斤拷吒摺锟斤拷锟酵ワ拷锟秸拷锟斤拷锟街憋拷哟锟窖癸拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷模锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷谐锟斤拷锟斤拷裕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟轿拷锟斤拷锟�2015锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷训锟斤拷锟斤拷谐锟斤拷锟斤拷锟酵拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紹MI锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷示锟斤拷2015锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷训锟斤拷硬锟狡凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷模311.44锟斤拷锟斤拷元锟斤拷同锟斤拷锟铰斤拷32.7%锟斤拷2016锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟铰伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟矫碉拷锟斤拷锟解，锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷窄锟斤拷4.2%锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟侥ｏ拷越锟斤拷锟揭伙拷锟轿拷锟斤拷锟�298.4锟斤拷锟斤拷元锟斤拷

    2016锟疥，锟斤拷锟剿会将锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖碉拷锟接诧拷品锟斤拷锟窖伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷踊锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷只锟斤拷锟狡斤拷锟斤拷锟皆猴拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷炔锟狡凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷妗Ｄ壳帮拷锟斤拷锟斤拷只锟斤拷锟酵革拷锟斤拷源锟斤拷诮洗锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷占洌拷锟较凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷瞥锟斤拷锟斤拷图锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷冒锟阶肯低筹拷锟斤拷锟较凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷痰目锟斤拷俜锟秸挂诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟接帮拷锟斤拷锟揭拷锟斤拷院锟桔撅拷锟矫恶化★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷贫锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟借沟锟斤拷锟皆★拷农锟斤拷锟斤拷锟饺憋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷施锟饺凤拷锟芥，锟截憋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷为锟侥高癸拷税水平锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟桔价革拷锟揭憋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡凤拷逊锟斤拷锟轿达拷锟斤拷喙︼拷锟斤拷只锟揭诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟秸硷拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫拷璞革拷锟斤拷锟�,锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絤p3锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆斤拷锟接剧。PC锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟阶达拷锟斤拷业锟斤拷庭锟皆硷拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟借备锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟竭ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷支锟脚诧拷锟姐；2014锟斤拷4锟斤拷微锟斤拷停止锟斤拷XP系统锟侥硷拷锟斤拷支锟斤拷也锟斤拷前透支锟剿诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷BMI锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷示锟斤拷2015锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絇C锟斤拷锟斤拷同锟斤拷萎锟斤拷锟斤拷40%锟斤拷2016锟斤拷锟皆斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷8%锟斤拷锟揭的斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟秸筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷